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1.
Environ Res Lett ; 15(12): 124051, 2020 Dec 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35211191

RESUMO

Malaria burden is increasing in sub-Saharan cities because of rapid and uncontrolled urbanization. Yet very few studies have studied the interactions between urban environments and malaria. Additionally, no standardized urban land-use/land-cover has been defined for urban malaria studies. Here, we demonstrate the potential of local climate zones (LCZs) for modeling malaria prevalence rate (Pf PR2-10) and studying malaria prevalence in urban settings across nine sub-Saharan African cities. Using a random forest classification algorithm over a set of 365 malaria surveys we: (i) identify a suitable set of covariates derived from open-source earth observations; and (ii) depict the best buffer size at which to aggregate them for modeling Pf PR2-10. Our results demonstrate that geographical models can learn from LCZ over a set of cities and be transferred over a city of choice that has few or no malaria surveys. In particular, we find that urban areas systematically have lower Pf PR2-10 (5%-30%) than rural areas (15%-40%). The Pf PR2-10 urban-to-rural gradient is dependent on the climatic environment in which the city is located. Further, LCZs show that more open urban environments located close to wetlands have higher Pf PR2-10. Informal settlements-represented by the LCZ 7 (lightweight lowrise)-have higher malaria prevalence than other densely built-up residential areas with a mean prevalence of 11.11%. Overall, we suggest the applicability of LCZs for more exploratory modeling in urban malaria studies.

2.
Malar Control Elimin ; 5(2): 144, 2019 Jun 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31286096

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Since 2004, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has pursued a policy of malaria elimination. The distribution of malaria at this time was constrained to regions located in the South Western part of the country. The present study aimed to understand the risk of malaria infection and factors associated with these events between March 2006 and August 2007 in one part of Aseer region. METHODS: The study was carried out in Tihama Qahtan area in the far southeastern part of Aseer, historically the most malaria endemic area of this region. The area covers 54 villages served by three primary health care centres (Wadi Alhayah, Alfarsha and Albuqaa). Malaria cases were detected using passive case detection (PCD) at the three health centres for 18 months from March 2006, each positive case was investigated using patient and household level enquiries. In addition, four cross-sectional surveys in 12 villages were undertaken using rapid diagnostic tests within the catchments of each health centre coinciding with malaria transmission seasons. RESULTS: Among 1840 individuals examined in the PCD survey, 49 (2.7%) were positive for malaria, most were Plasmodium falciparum cases and one was a P. vivax case. The majority of these infections were likely to have been acquired outside of the area and represent imported cases, including those from the neighboring region of Jazan. Among the 18 locally acquired cases, the majority were adult males who slept outdoors. 3623 individuals were screened during the cross-sectional surveys, 16 (0.44%) were positive and infections only detected during peak, potential transmission periods. CONCLUSION: There was evidence of local malaria transmission in the Tihama Qahtan area in 2006-2007, however prevalence and incidence of new infections was very low, making the future ambitions of elimination biologically feasible. The constant source of imported infections must be considered in the area's elimination ambitions, alongside strong behavioural community messages about sleeping outdoors unprotected and travel to malaria endemic areas outside the region.

3.
East Mediterr Health J ; 16(6): 595-601, 2010 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20799585

RESUMO

Between March and August 2008 we undertook 2 cross-sectional surveys among 1375 residents of 3 randomly selected villages in the district of Gebiley in the North-West Zone, Somalia. We investigated for the presence of malaria infection and the period prevalence of self-reported fever 14 days prior to both surveys. All blood samples examined were negative for both species of Plasmodium. The period prevalence of 14-day fevers was 4.8% in March and 0.6% in August; the majority of fevers (84.4%) were associated with other symptoms including cough, running nose and sore throat; 48/64 cases had resolved by the day of interview (mean duration 5.4 days). Only 18 (37.5%) fever cases were managed at a formal health care facility: 7 within 24 hours and 10 within 24-72 hours of onset. None of the fevers were investigated for malaria; they were treated with antibiotics, antipyretics and vitamins.


Assuntos
Febre/epidemiologia , Febre/terapia , Malária/epidemiologia , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde Rural/organização & administração , Saúde da População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Febre/etiologia , Febre/psicologia , Pesquisas sobre Atenção à Saúde , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Habitação/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Malária/complicações , Masculino , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/psicologia , Prevalência , Características de Residência/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Somália/epidemiologia
4.
(East. Mediterr. health j).
em Inglês | WHO IRIS | ID: who-117924

RESUMO

Between March and August 2008 we undertook 2 cross-sectional surveys among 1375 residents of 3 randomly selected villages in the district of Gebiley in the North-West Zone, Somalia. We investigated for the presence of malaria infection and the period prevalence of self-reported fever 14 days prior to both surveys. All blood samples examined were negative for both species of Plasmodium. The period prevalence of 14-day fevers was 4.8% in March and 0.6% in August; the majority of fevers [84.4%] were associated with other symptoms including cough, running nose and sore throat; 48/64 cases had resolved by the day of interview [mean duration 5.4 days]. Only 18 [37.5%] fever cases were managed at a formal health care facility: 7 within 24 hours and 10 within 24-72 hours of onset. None of the fevers were investigated for malaria; they were treated with antibiotics, antipyretics and vitamins


Assuntos
Prevalência , População Rural , Estudos Transversais , Malária , Febre
5.
Trop Med Int Health ; 13(6): 784-7, 2008 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18482078

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The recent change of treatment policy for uncomplicated malaria from sulfadoxine-pyrime-thamine to artemether-lumefantrine (AL) in Kenya was accompanied by revised malaria diagnosis recommendations promoting presumptive antimalarial treatment in young children and parasitological diagnosis in patients 5 years and older. We evaluated the impact of these age-specific recommendations on routine malaria treatment practices 4-6 months after AL treatment was implemented. METHODS: Cross-sectional, cluster sample survey using quality-of-care assessment methods in all government facilities in four Kenyan districts. Analysis was restricted to the 64 facilities with malaria diagnostics and AL available on the survey day. Main outcome measures were antimalarial treatment practices for febrile patients stratified by age, use of malaria diagnostic tests, and test result. RESULTS: Treatment practices for 706 febrile patients (401 young children and 305 patients > or =5 years) were evaluated. 43.0% of patients > or =5 years and 25.9% of children underwent parasitological malaria testing (87% by microscopy). AL was prescribed for 79.7% of patients > or =5 years with positive test results, for 9.7% with negative results and for 10.9% without a test. 84.6% of children with positive tests, 19.2% with negative tests, and 21.6% without tests were treated with AL. At least one antimalarial drug was prescribed for 75.0% of children and for 61.3% of patients > or =5 years with a negative test result. CONCLUSIONS: Despite different recommendations for patients below and above 5 years of age, malaria diagnosis and treatment practices were similar in the two age groups. Parasitological diagnosis was under-used in older children and adults, and young children were still tested. Use of AL was low overall and alternative antimalarials were commonly prescribed; but AL prescribing largely followed the results of malaria tests. Malaria diagnosis recommendations differing between age groups appear complex to implement; further strengthening of diagnosis and treatment practices under AL policy is required.


Assuntos
Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Malária/diagnóstico , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Fatores Etários , Combinação Arteméter e Lumefantrina , Artemisininas/uso terapêutico , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Combinação de Medicamentos , Uso de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Etanolaminas/uso terapêutico , Fluorenos/uso terapêutico , Fidelidade a Diretrizes/estatística & dados numéricos , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde/métodos , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Quênia
6.
Trop Med Int Health ; 13(1): 99-107, 2008 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18291008

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To describe the quality of outpatient paediatric malaria case-management approximately 4-6 months after artemether-lumefantrine (AL) replaced sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) as the nationally recommended first-line therapy in Kenya. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey at all government facilities in four Kenyan districts. Main outcome measures were health facility and health worker readiness to implement AL policy; quality of antimalarial prescribing, counselling and drug dispensing in comparison with national guidelines; and factors influencing AL prescribing for treatment of uncomplicated malaria in under-fives. RESULTS: We evaluated 193 facilities, 227 health workers and 1533 sick-child consultations. Health facility and health worker readiness was variable: 89% of facilities stocked AL, 55% of health workers had access to guidelines, 46% received in-service training on AL and only 1% of facilities had AL wall charts. Of 940 children who needed AL treatment, AL was prescribed for 26%, amodiaquine for 39%, SP for 4%, various other antimalarials for 8% and 23% of children left the facility without any antimalarial prescribed. When AL was prescribed, 92% of children were prescribed correct weight-specific dose. AL dispensing and counselling tasks were variably performed. Higher health worker's cadre, in-service training including AL use, positive malaria test, main complaint of fever and high temperature were associated with better prescribing. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in clinical practices at the point of care might take longer than anticipated. Delivery of successful interventions and their scaling up to increase coverage are important during this process; however, this should be accompanied by rigorous research evaluations, corrective actions on existing interventions and testing cost-effectiveness of novel interventions capable of improving and maintaining health worker performance and health systems to deliver artemisinin-based combination therapy in Africa.


Assuntos
Assistência Ambulatorial , Artemisininas/uso terapêutico , Fluorenos/uso terapêutico , Política de Saúde , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Sesquiterpenos/uso terapêutico , Antimaláricos/administração & dosagem , Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Combinação Arteméter e Lumefantrina , Artemisininas/administração & dosagem , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Combinação de Medicamentos , Etanolaminas , Fluorenos/administração & dosagem , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Entrevistas como Assunto , Quênia , Padrões de Prática Médica , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Sesquiterpenos/administração & dosagem
7.
Trop Med Int Health ; 11(8): 1185-94, 2006 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16903882

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: A recent observational study undertaken at 17 health facilities with microscopy in Kenya revealed that potential benefits of malaria microscopy are not realized because of irrational clinical practices and the low accuracy of routine microscopy. Using these data, we modelled financial and clinical implications of revised clinical practices and improved accuracy of malaria microscopy among adult outpatients under the artemether-lumefantrine (AL) treatment policy for uncomplicated malaria in Kenya. METHODS: The cost of AL, antibiotics and malaria microscopy and the expected number of malaria diagnosis errors were estimated per 1,000 adult outpatients presenting at a facility with microscopy under three scenarios: (1) current clinical practice and accuracy of microscopy (option A), (2) revised clinical practice with current accuracy of microscopy (option B) and (3) revised clinical practice with improved accuracy of microscopy (option C). Revised clinical practice was defined as performing a blood slide for all febrile adults and prescribing antimalarial treatment only for positive results. Improved accuracy of routine microscopy was defined as 90% sensitivity and specificity. In the sensitivity analysis, the implications of changes in the cost of drugs and malaria microscopy and changes in background malaria prevalence were examined for each option. RESULTS: The costs of AL, antibiotics and malaria microscopy decreased from 2,154 dollars under option A to 1,254 dollars under option B and 892 dollars under option C. Of the cost savings from option C, 72% was from changes in clinical practice, while 28% was from improvements in the accuracy of microscopy. Compared with 638 malaria overdiagnosis errors per 1,000 adults under option A, 375 and 548 fewer overdiagnosis errors were estimated, respectively, under options B and C. At the same time, the number of missed malaria diagnoses remained generally low under all options. Sensitivity analysis showed that both options B and C are robust to a wide range of assumptions on the costs of drugs, costs of blood slides and malaria prevalence. CONCLUSIONS: Even with the imperfect microscopy conditions at Kenyan facilities, implementation of revised clinical practice (option B) would substantially reduce the costs and errors from malaria overdiagnosis. Additional interventions to improve the accuracy of microscopy (option C) can achieve further benefits; however, improved microscopy in the absence of revised clinical practice is unlikely to generate significant cost savings. Revision of guidelines to state explicitly age-specific indications for the use and interpretation of malaria microscopy is urgently needed. Further prospective studies are required to evaluate the effectiveness and costs of interventions to improve clinical practice and the accuracy of malaria microscopy.


Assuntos
Erros de Diagnóstico/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Malária/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Adulto , Anti-Infecciosos/economia , Anti-Infecciosos/uso terapêutico , Antimaláricos/economia , Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Artemeter , Artemisininas/economia , Artemisininas/uso terapêutico , Etanolaminas/economia , Etanolaminas/uso terapêutico , Febre/sangue , Febre/diagnóstico , Febre/epidemiologia , Fluorenos/economia , Fluorenos/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Quênia/epidemiologia , Lumefantrina , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Malária/epidemiologia , Microscopia/economia , Modelos Econômicos , Prevalência , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
8.
Adv Parasitol ; 62: 157-79, 2006.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16647970

RESUMO

There is no accurate contemporary global map of the distribution of malaria. We show how guidelines formulated to advise travellers on appropriate chemoprophylaxis for areas of reported Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax malaria risk can be used to generate crude spatial limits. We first review and amalgamate information on these guidelines to define malaria risk at national and sub-national administrative boundary levels globally. We then adopt an iterative approach to reduce these extents by applying a series of biological limits imposed by altitude, climate and population density to malaria transmission, specific to the local dominant vector species. Global areas of, and population at risk from, P. falciparum and often-neglected P. vivax malaria are presented for 2005 for all malaria endemic countries. These results reveal that more than 3 billion people were at risk of malaria in 2005.


Assuntos
Doenças Endêmicas , Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/transmissão , Malária Vivax/epidemiologia , Malária Vivax/transmissão , Altitude , Animais , Clima , Vetores de Doenças , Humanos , Densidade Demográfica , Viagem
9.
Ann Trop Med Parasitol ; 100(3): 189-204, 2006 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16630376

RESUMO

Global environmental change is expected to affect profoundly the transmission of the parasites that cause human malaria. Amongst the anthropogenic drivers of change, deforestation is arguably the most conspicuous, and its rate is projected to increase in the coming decades. The canonical epidemiological understanding is that deforestation increases malaria risk in Africa and the Americas and diminishes it in South-east Asia. Partial support for this position is provided here, through a systematic review of the published literature on deforestation, malaria and the relevant vector bionomics. By using recently updated boundaries for the spatial limits of malaria and remotely-sensed estimates of tree cover, it has been possible to determine the population at risk of malaria in closed forest, at least for those malaria-endemic countries that lie within the main blocks of tropical forest. Closed forests within areas of malaria risk cover approximately 1.5 million km2 in the Amazon region, 1.4 million km2 in Central Africa, 1.2 million km2 in the Western Pacific, and 0.7 million km2 in South-east Asia. The corresponding human populations at risk of malaria within these forests total 11.7 million, 18.7 million, 35.1 million and 70.1 million, respectively. By coupling these numbers with the country-specific rates of deforestation, it has been possible to rank malaria-endemic countries according to their potential for change in the population at risk of malaria, as the result of deforestation. The on-going research aimed at evaluating these relationships more quantitatively, through the Malaria Atlas Project (MAP), is highlighted.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Malária/transmissão , África Central/epidemiologia , Animais , Anopheles , Sudeste Asiático/epidemiologia , Doenças Endêmicas , Humanos , Insetos Vetores , Malária/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco/métodos , América do Sul/epidemiologia , Árvores
10.
Trop Med Int Health ; 11(4): 432-40, 2006 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16553926

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the accuracy of routine malaria microscopy, and appropriate use and interpretation of malaria slides under operational conditions in Kenya. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey, using a range of quality of care assessment tools, at government facilities with malaria microscopy in two Kenyan districts of different intensity of malaria transmission. All patients older than 5 years presenting to outpatient departments were enrolled. Two expert microscopists assessed the accuracy of the routine malaria slide results. RESULTS: We analysed 359 consultations performed by 31 clinicians at 17 facilities. Clinical assessment was suboptimal. Blood slide microscopy was performed for 72.7% of patients, who represented 78.5% of febrile patients and 51.3% of afebrile patients. About 95.5% of patients with a positive malaria microscopy result and 79.3% of patients with a negative result received antimalarial treatment. Sulphadoxine-pyremethamine monotherapy was more commonly prescribed for patients with a negative test result (60.7%) than for patients with a positive result (32.4%). Conversely, amodiaquine or quinine were prescribed for only 14.7% of patients with a negative malaria microscopy result compared to 57.7% of patients with a positive result. The prevalence of confirmed malaria was low in both high (10.0%) and low-(16.3%) transmission settings. Combining data from both settings, the sensitivity of routine microscopy was 68.6%; its specificity, 61.5%; its positive predictive value, 21.6% and its negative predictive value, 92.7%. CONCLUSIONS: The potential benefits of microscopy are currently not realised because of the poor quality of routine testing and irrational clinical practices. Ambiguous clinical guidelines permitting treatment of older children and adults with a negative blood slide also undermine rational use of antimalarial drugs.


Assuntos
Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Malária Falciparum/tratamento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Assistência Ambulatorial/métodos , Amodiaquina/uso terapêutico , Administração de Caso , Criança , Estudos Transversais , Combinação de Medicamentos , Humanos , Quênia/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/diagnóstico , Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Microscopia/métodos , Parasitemia/diagnóstico , Parasitemia/tratamento farmacológico , Parasitemia/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População/métodos , Prevalência , Pirimetamina/uso terapêutico , Quinina/uso terapêutico , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Sulfadoxina/uso terapêutico
11.
J Clin Pharm Ther ; 30(6): 559-65, 2005 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16336288

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Malaria is a disease of major public health importance in Kenya killing 26,000 children under 5 years of age annually. This paper seeks to assess the quality of sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) and amodiaquine (AQ) products available over-the-counter to communities in Kenya as most malaria fevers are self-medicated using drugs from the informal retail sector. METHODS: A retail audit of 880 retail outlets was carried in 2002 in four districts in Kenya, in which antimalarial drug stocks and their primary wholesale sources were noted. In addition, the expiry dates on audited products and the basic storage conditions were recorded on a proforma. The most commonly stocked SP and AQ products were then sampled from the top 10 wholesalers in each district and samples subjected to standard United States Pharmacopoeia (USP) tests of content and dissolution. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: SP and AQ were the most frequently stocked antimalarial drugs, accounting for approximately 75% of all the antimalarial drugs stocked in the four districts. Of 116 SP and AQ samples analysed, 47 (40.5%) did not meet the USP specifications for content and/or dissolution. Overall, approximately 45.3% of SP and 33.0% of AQ samples were found to be sub-standard. Of the sub-standard SP products, 55.2% were suspensions while 61.1% of the substandard AQ products were tablets. Most SP failures were because of the pyrimethamine component. CONCLUSION: There is a need to strengthen post-marketing surveillance systems to protect patients from being treated with sub-standard and counterfeit antimalarial drugs in Kenya.


Assuntos
Amodiaquina/normas , Antimaláricos/normas , Pirimetamina/normas , Sulfadoxina/normas , Amodiaquina/análise , Amodiaquina/química , Antimaláricos/análise , Antimaláricos/química , Combinação de Medicamentos , Estabilidade de Medicamentos , Armazenamento de Medicamentos , Quênia , Medicamentos sem Prescrição , Farmácias , Farmacopeias como Assunto/normas , Vigilância de Produtos Comercializados , Pirimetamina/análise , Pirimetamina/química , Controle de Qualidade , Solubilidade , Sulfadoxina/análise , Sulfadoxina/química , Estados Unidos
12.
Nature ; 438(7067): 492-5, 2005 Nov 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16306991

RESUMO

Malaria is an important cause of global morbidity and mortality. The fact that some people are bitten more often than others has a large effect on the relationship between risk factors and prevalence of vector-borne diseases. Here we develop a mathematical framework that allows us to estimate the heterogeneity of infection rates from the relationship between rates of infectious bites and community prevalence. We apply this framework to a large, published data set that combines malaria measurements from more than 90 communities. We find strong evidence that heterogeneous biting or heterogeneous susceptibility to infection are important and pervasive factors determining the prevalence of infection: 20% of people receive 80% of all infections. We also find that individual infections last about six months on average, per infectious bite, and children who clear infections are not immune to new infections. The results have important implications for public health interventions: the success of malaria control will depend heavily on whether efforts are targeted at those who are most at risk of infection.


Assuntos
Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/transmissão , Modelos Biológicos , Plasmodium falciparum/fisiologia , Adolescente , África/epidemiologia , Distribuição por Idade , Animais , Mordeduras e Picadas/epidemiologia , Mordeduras e Picadas/parasitologia , Criança , Culicidae/parasitologia , Culicidae/fisiologia , Suscetibilidade a Doenças , Humanos , Insetos Vetores/parasitologia , Insetos Vetores/fisiologia , Malária Falciparum/imunologia , Malária Falciparum/parasitologia , Plasmodium falciparum/imunologia , Prevalência , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
13.
Trop Med Int Health ; 10(6): 557-66, 2005 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15941419

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Malaria risk maps have re-emerged as an important tool for appropriately targeting the limited resources available for malaria control. In Sub-Saharan Africa empirically derived maps using standardized criteria are few and this paper considers the development of a model of malaria risk for East Africa. METHODS: Statistical techniques were applied to high spatial resolution remotely sensed, human settlement and land-use data to predict the intensity of malaria transmission as defined according to the childhood parasite ratio (PR) in East Africa. Discriminant analysis was used to train environmental and human settlement predictor variables to distinguish between four classes of PR risk shown to relate to disease outcomes in the region. RESULTS: Independent empirical estimates of the PR were identified from Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda (n = 330). Surrogate markers of climate recorded on-board earth orbiting satellites, population settlement, elevation and water bodies all contributed significantly to the predictive models of malaria transmission intensity in the sub-region. The accuracy of the model was increased by stratifying East Africa into two ecological zones. In addition, the inclusion of urbanization as a predictor of malaria prevalence, whilst reducing formal accuracy statistics, nevertheless improved the consistency of the predictive map with expert opinion malaria maps. The overall accuracy achieved with ecological zone and urban stratification was 62% with surrogates of precipitation and temperature being among the most discriminating predictors of the PR. CONCLUSIONS: It is possible to achieve a high degree of predictive accuracy for Plasmodium falciparum parasite prevalence in East Africa using high-spatial resolution environmental data. However, discrepancies were evident from mapped outputs from the models which were largely due to poor coverage of malaria training data and the comparable spatial resolution of predictor data. These deficiencies will only be addressed by more random, intensive small areas studies of empirical estimates of PR.


Assuntos
Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco/métodos , Animais , Criança , Clima , Demografia , Ecossistema , Doenças Endêmicas , Humanos , Quênia/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/transmissão , Modelos Estatísticos , Plasmodium falciparum , Prevalência , Chuva , Comunicações Via Satélite , Tanzânia/epidemiologia , Temperatura , Topografia Médica/métodos , Uganda/epidemiologia , Urbanização
15.
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg ; 99(1): 71-4, 2005 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15550264

RESUMO

In the 1980s, highland malaria returned to the tea estates of western Kenya after an absence of nearly a generation. In order to determine the importance of travel for the spread of malaria in this region, we prospectively collected blood films and travel, demographic and geographic information on well persons and outpatients on tea estates near the western rim of the Rift Valley. Risk factors for malaria asexual parasitaemia included: tribal/ethnic group, home province and home district malaria endemicity. Travel away from the Kericho tea estates within the previous two months showed an odds ratio (OR) for parasitaemia of 1.59 for well persons and 2.38 for outpatients. Sexual stages of malaria parasites (gametocytes) had an OR of 3.14 (well persons) and 2.22 (outpatients) for those who had travelled. Increased risk of malaria parasitaemia with travel was concentrated in children aged <5 years. An increase in population gametocytaemia is possibly due to increased chloroquine resistance and suppressed infections contracted outside of the tea estates.


Assuntos
Malária Falciparum/etiologia , Viagem , Animais , Pré-Escolar , Doenças Endêmicas , Feminino , Humanos , Quênia/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/etnologia , Masculino , Parasitemia/epidemiologia , Parasitemia/etiologia , Plasmodium falciparum/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Prevalência , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco
16.
Acta Trop ; 93(1): 11-21, 2005 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15589793

RESUMO

There is a growing interest in the effects of urbanisation in Africa on Plasmodium falciparum risks and disease outcomes. We undertook a review of published and unpublished literature to identify parasite survey data from communities in East Africa. Data were selected to represent the most reliable and contemporary estimates of infection prevalence and were categorised by urban or rural status using a number of approaches. We identified 329 spatially distinct surveys undertaken since 1980 in the sub-region of which 37 were undertaken in urban settlements and 292 in rural settlements. Overall rural settlements reported significantly higher parasite prevalence among children aged 0-14 than urban settlements (on average 10% higher infection rates; p<0.05). No urban settlements recorded parasite prevalence in excess of 75%. In areas of East Africa where climatic conditions are likely to support higher parasite transmission, the rural-urban difference was most marked. There was a significant trend towards documenting higher classes of parasite prevalence in rural compared to urban settlements (p<0.05) and the mean difference between rural and urban samples was 18% (p<0.001). These results further highlight the need to better define urban extents in Africa in order to capture the non-climatic determinants of infection and disease risk and provide a more informed approach to describing the burden of disease across the continent.


Assuntos
Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Plasmodium falciparum/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Adolescente , Animais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Ecossistema , Humanos , Lactente , Quênia/epidemiologia , Prevalência , População Rural , Tanzânia/epidemiologia , Uganda/epidemiologia , População Urbana
17.
Int J Epidemiol ; 33(6): 1293-301, 2004 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15319411

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: We assessed whether Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), a large and high-quality source of under-5 mortality estimates in developing countries, would be able to detect reductions in under-5 mortality as established in global child health goals. METHODS AND RESULTS: Mortality estimates from 41 DHS conducted in African countries between 1986 and 2002, for the interval of 0-4 years preceding each survey (with a mean time lag of 2.5 years), were reviewed. The median relative error on national mortality rates was 4.4%. In multivariate regression, the relative error decreased with increasing sample size, increasing fertility rates, and increasing mortality rates. The error increased with the magnitude of the survey design effect, which resulted from cluster sampling. With levels of precision observed in previous surveys, reductions in all-cause under-5 mortality rates between two subsequent surveys of 15% or more would be detectable. The detection of smaller mortality reductions would require increases in sample size, from a current median of 7060 to over 20,000 women. Across the actual surveys conducted between 1986 and 2002, varying mortality trends were apparent at a national scale, but only around half of these were statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: The interpretation of changes in under-5 mortality rates between subsequent surveys needs to take into account statistical significance. DHS birth history surveys with their present sampling design would be able to statistically confirm under-5 mortality reductions in African countries if true reductions were 15% or larger, and are highly relevant to tracking progress towards existing international child health targets.


Assuntos
Mortalidade da Criança , Países em Desenvolvimento , Saúde Global , África/epidemiologia , Pré-Escolar , Demografia , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Feminino , Previsões , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Lactente , Mortalidade Infantil , Recém-Nascido , Masculino
18.
Acta Trop ; 91(3): 239-51, 2004 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15246930

RESUMO

Equity is an important criterion in evaluating health system performance. Developing a framework for equitable and effective resource allocation for health depends upon knowledge of service providers and their location in relation to the population they should serve. The last available map of health service providers in Kenya was developed in 1959. We have built a health service provider database from a variety of traditional government and opportunistic non-government sources and positioned spatially these facilities using global positioning systems, hand-drawn maps, topographical maps and other sources. Of 6674 identified service providers, 3355 (50%) were private sector, employer-provided or specialist facilities and only 39% were registered in the Kenyan Ministry of Health database during 2001. Of 3319 public service facilities supported by the Ministry of Health, missions, not-for-profit organizations and local authorities, 84% were registered on a Ministry of Health database and we were able to acquire co-ordinates for 92% of these. The ratio of public health services to population changed from 1:26,000 in 1959 to 1:9300 in 1999-2002. There were 82% of the population within 5 km of a public health facility and resident in 20% of the country. Our efforts to recreate a comprehensive, spatially defined list of health service providers has identified a number of weaknesses in existing national health management information systems, which with an increased commitment and minimal costs can be redressed. This will enable geographic information systems to exploit more fully facility-based morbidity data, population distribution and health access models to target resources and monitor the ability of health sector reforms to achieve equity in service provision.


Assuntos
Países em Desenvolvimento , Sistemas de Informação Geográfica , Instalações de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Acesso aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Quênia , Densidade Demográfica
19.
Int J Epidemiol ; 33(5): 1080-91, 2004 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15256523

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: When replacing failing drugs for malaria with more effective drugs, an important step towards reducing the malaria burden is that health workers (HW) prescribe drugs according to evidence-based guidelines. Past studies have shown that HW commonly do not follow guidelines, yet few studies have explored with appropriate methods why such practices occur. METHODS: We analysed data from a survey of government health facilities in four Kenyan districts in which HW consultations were observed, caretakers and HW were interviewed, and health facility assessments were performed. The analysis was limited to children 2-59 months old with uncomplicated malaria. Treatment was defined as recommended (antimalarial recommended by national guidelines), a minor error (effective, but non-recommended antimalarial), or inappropriate (no effective antimalarial). RESULTS: We evaluated 1006 consultations performed by 135 HW at 81 facilities: 567 children received recommended treatment, 314 had minor errors, and 125 received inappropriate treatment (weighted percentages: 56.9%, 30.4%, and 12.7%). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that programmatic interventions such as in-service malaria training, provision of guidelines and wall charts, and more frequent supervision were significantly associated with better treatment quality. However, neither in-service training nor possession of the guideline document showed an effect by itself. More qualified HW made more errors: both major and minor errors (but generally more minor errors) when second-line drugs were in stock, and more major errors when second-line drugs were not in stock. Child factors such as age and a main complaint of fever were also associated with treatment quality. CONCLUSIONS: Our results support the use of several programmatic strategies that can redress HW deficiencies in malaria treatment. Targeted cost-effectiveness trials would help refine these strategies and provide more precise guidance on affordable and effective ways to strengthen and maintain HW practices.


Assuntos
Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Competência Clínica , Pessoal de Saúde/normas , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Países em Desenvolvimento , Feminino , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Pesquisas sobre Atenção à Saúde , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Lactente , Quênia , Masculino , Erros de Medicação/estatística & dados numéricos , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Medicina Estatal/normas
20.
Trop Med Int Health ; 9(2): 255-61, 2004 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15040563

RESUMO

The roll back malaria (RBM) movement promotes the use of insecticide-treated bednets (ITNs) and intermittent presumptive treatment (IPT) of malaria infection as preventive measures against the adverse effects of malaria among pregnant women in Africa. To determine the use of these preventive measures we undertook a community-based survey of recently pregnant women randomly selected from communities in four districts of Kenya in December 2001. Of the 1814 women surveyed, only 5% had slept under an ITN. More than half of the 13% of women using a bednet (treated or untreated) had bought their nets from shops or markets. Women from rural areas used bednets less than urban women (11% vs. 27%; P < 0.001), and 41% of the bednets used by rural women had been obtained free of charge from a research project in Bondo or a nationwide UNICEF donation through antenatal clinics (ANCs). Despite 96% of ANC providers being aware of IPT with sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP), only 5% of women interviewed had received two or more doses of SP as a presumptive treatment. The coverage of pregnant women with at least one dose of IPT with SP was 14%, though a similar percentage also had received at least a single dose as a curative treatment. The coverage of nationally recommended strategies to prevent malaria during pregnancy during 2001 was low across the diverse malaria ecology of Kenya. Rapid expansion of access to these services is required to meet international and national targets by the year 2005. The scaling up of malaria prevention programmes through ANC services should be possible with 74% of women visiting ANCs at least twice in all four districts. Issues of commodity supply and service costs to clients will be the greatest impediments to reaching RBM targets.


Assuntos
Antimaláricos/administração & dosagem , Roupas de Cama, Mesa e Banho , Inseticidas , Malária/prevenção & controle , Complicações Parasitárias na Gravidez/prevenção & controle , Pirimetamina/administração & dosagem , Sulfadoxina/administração & dosagem , Adulto , Competência Clínica , Parto Obstétrico , Esquema de Medicação , Combinação de Medicamentos , Feminino , Pesquisas sobre Atenção à Saúde/métodos , Humanos , Quênia/epidemiologia , Malária/epidemiologia , Gravidez , Complicações Parasitárias na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Cuidado Pré-Natal/métodos , Saúde da População Rural
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